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it Peru’s government reaffirmed this morning its decision to ignore Nicolás Maduro as president-elect Venezuelanoting that the outcome of the election process was marred by allegations of fraud. Instead, he recognized her Edmundo González Urrutiawith whom In Boluarte He has already held an official meeting. This move sparks a diplomatic crisis that has escalated since July 2024, when Caracas broke formal ties with harbor.
Despite the official separation, the two countries have maintained several channels of communication, especially for issues related to the large community of Immigrants from Venezuela IN PERU.
internationalist Ramiro Escobarin dialogue with Infobae Peruanalyzed the tensions between PERU y Venezuela and his possible diplomatic scenarios after the lack of recognition of Nicolas Maduro as president-elect.
“Venezuela broke off diplomatic relations with Peru in July when Peru did not recognize his victory Nicolás Maduro. However, this does not mean that there is no connection, since more than one and a half million Venezuelans reside in Peruvian territory,” Escobar explained. This has forced some communication channels to be maintained, especially regarding the situation of the immigrant community.
Peru’s support for Edmundo González Urrutia and his determined refusal to recognize Nicolas Maduro as president have increased diplomatic tensions between the two countries. As explained Escobarthis attitude can be interpreted by the Venezuelan authorities as “intervention”, despite the fact that the international community has not even supported the controversial re-election of the Venezuelan dictator.
“The famous minutes, where the results should be, were never shown transparently. The Venezuelan government simply ignored calls to produce these records. “Questions about the elections were ignored and, let’s say, the issue was left in abeyance, trying to overcome this obstacle on January 10 diplomatically and politically,” he said.
Despite the tensions, Escobar He emphasized that the possibility of a diplomatic solution is not completely excluded. “What needs to be analyzed are the steps that will be taken in the future. If he PERUtogether with other countries, will promote a possible diplomatic solution, if it exists. This, due to the stubbornness and closed-mindedness of Nicolás Maduro, which hinders the progress of Venezuela towards a new political phase,” he commented.
In this context, the partial liberation of the Venezuelan economy in recent years would be used by the government of Maduro to project an improvement of the internal situation of the country. “It is true that the economic situation has improved compared to three or four years ago”, he added. Escobar.
This was also emphasized by the internationalist PERU opposes any kind of external military intervention to remove Maduro of power. “This, in itself, hinders the connection with Venezuela to break completely and without any possibility. That is, if this represents a way of asserting that we will not support a military intervention, but a solution promoted by the people themselves. Venezuelans“, correct.
In the 80s, Group of Accountantsformed by several Latin American countries without the presence of the United States, played a key role in resolving conflicts in Guatemala, El Salvador y Nicaraguamanaging to neutralize the civil wars in Guatemala and El Salvador. According to the specialist, Peru may consider participating in a similar initiative, a path of “minimum hope” to solve Venezuela’s complex problem.
“Peru could participate in an initiative of this kind that I believe would be a path of least hope to end this stormy problem,” he said.
However, the analyst stressed that Peru should not follow the example of Juan Guaidowho was recognized as the interim president of Venezuela, but whose political project failed. According to him, the approach of Peru and other countries should be recognition Edmundo Gonzalez as president-elect, avoiding repeating Guaido’s model, “because I believe you can’t move towards anything there,” he noted.
The impact of diplomatic tensions on trade relations between Peru and Venezuela has been limited due to the low volume of trade between the two countries. According to the data of specialists, this trade is about 200 million dollars a year.
In recent years, Peruvian textile exports to Venezuela have grown, turning the Venezuelan market into an attractive destination for affordable products from small and medium-sized companies.
“Peruvian SMEs, especially those exporting textile products to Venezuela, have experienced growth in recent years. This is probably because Venezuela represents an accessible market for small and medium-sized companies that sell textiles at competitive prices,” he noted.
However, the analyst also emphasized that diplomatic tensions do not pose a significant threat to this trade, due to its relatively low volume.
The diplomatic crisis between Peru and Venezuela has also created uncertainty regarding the situation of more than one and a half million Venezuelan immigrants residing in Peruvian territory. Despite the breakdown of relations, both governments are expected to implement agreements to guarantee consular assistance and protect the rights of this community.
According to Escobarthe Venezuelan government may try to convince some migrants to return to his country, with the argument that the economic situation has improved.
“The Maduro regime will try to convince people who left to come back, arguing that the economic situation is not that bad. Really, it’s true. However, just because it’s not that bad doesn’t mean it’s in a vibrant and hopeful situation,” he said.
This strategy may be part of an effort to reduce international pressure on his government, while trying to show domestic improvement. In the case of PERUauthorities continue to face the challenge of meeting the needs of Immigrants from Venezuela taking a critical stance towards the government Maduro.
However, concerns remain about a possible new wave of migration if the conditions are right Venezuela they get worse. Although the regime Maduro has tried to project an economic improvement, too Venezuelans They still consider emigration as a viable option due to the lack of opportunities and political uncertainty in their country.
The attitude of PERU of ignorance Nicolas Maduro as president of Venezuela and support Edmundo González Urrutia has intensified diplomatic tensions between the two countries. Despite the formal breakdown of relationships, business connections and community needs boomer have forced to maintain certain communication channels.
